In traditional models, it is the job of central banks to moderate credit cycles. By that measure, there is little to say that is favourable about the work of the US Federal Reserve System between April 1998 and October 2002. For nearly six years before 1998, conditions slowly improved, going from unnerving through cool to Goldilocks on the chart. Almost everyone claims credit for that virtuous cycle. The horrible period from 1998 to 2002, however, remains unclaimed.
January 01 2004