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  • While 2015 was the year securitisation came back into fashion – at least in the eyes of the European Commission (EC) – 2016 could be the year that reality bites and regulatory disconnects hit home.
  • With the renminbi's (RMB) long-awaited inclusion in the IMF's basket of reserve currencies being announced on November 30, calls for greater clarity over rules governing foreign issuers accessing the onshore market is set to intensify.
  • The motives behind the European Commission's (EC) Prospectus Directive (PD) have never been questioned. The goals of reducing the costs and burden for companies producing prospectuses, and the headaches for investors wading through them, are faultless.
  • In terms of sovereign debt, one country to watch is Argentina. "Argentina will come back to the market next year which will be interesting," says Antonia Stolper, partner at Shearman & Sterling.
  • Frenetic, argumentative and growing a little too quickly. European high-yield has clearly been experiencing its teenage years. But in 2016 the market will find its feet. In addition to the first wave of restructures – and the valuable lessons that come with it – there will be more constructive dialogue between issuers and investors, and more diversified use of funds.
  • High-yield bondholders face a tumultuous 2016; counsel say – with certainty – that mass restructurings are on the horizon.
  • If markets were to remain stable, 2016 would see a boom in initial public offerings (IPOs) out of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) off the back of its new Commercial Companies Law. This includes various provisions aimed at making it both easier and more attractive for companies to go public on a UAE-based exchange, as policymakers look to prevent local companies from listing abroad.
  • Already a regional leader in Islamic finance, Malaysia will continue to strengthen the shariah elements of its capital markets, driven by a desire to rival its Middle Eastern counterparts in sukuk trading. It comes amid a stepped-up national drive towards harmonising the practice of Islamic and common law, to remove legal anomalies affecting the shariah-compatibility of its legal system.
  • In 2016, for better or worse, LatAm's equity market activity will largely hinge on the stability of local currencies. And counsel are cautiously optimistic. The region is not known for a robust equity market, but according to Shearman & Sterling partner Antonia Stolper, last year was in a class of its own. "2015 was truly bad," she says. "We had the whole Fibra boom in Mexico in the last two years and other one offs in some other countries. But the pipeline is somewhat weak."
  • Move over exchange-traded funds. The next incarnation of funds-capital markets collaboration will look more like Apax's £585 million ($876 million) vehicle it listed in London last June. Known as Apax Global Alpha, it pools cash on behalf of institutional investors and acquires companies and other operating assets.